{"id":41600,"date":"2022-12-25T19:35:38","date_gmt":"2022-12-25T18:35:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/54.194.80.134.nip.io\/navigacija-u-trenutnoj-situaciji-predvidanje-temeljeno-na-scenariju-sap-analytics-cloud\/"},"modified":"2022-12-25T19:35:41","modified_gmt":"2022-12-25T18:35:41","slug":"navigacija-u-trenutnoj-situaciji-predvidanje-temeljeno-na-scenariju-sap-analytics-cloud","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cubeserv.com\/hr\/navigacija-u-trenutnoj-situaciji-predvidanje-temeljeno-na-scenariju-sap-analytics-cloud\/","title":{"rendered":"Navigacija u trenutnoj situaciji \u2013 Predvi\u0111anje temeljeno na scenariju \u2013 SAP Analytics Cloud"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
Tko je mogao pretpostaviti nevi\u0111eni globalni utjecaj i poreme\u0107aj COVID-19 kada su se prve vijesti pojavile po\u010detkom sije\u010dnja 2020.? <\/span><\/p>\r\n Tvrtke koje su bile izlo\u017eene u Kini pogo\u0111ene su rano i brzo, ali \u010dak ni tada nitko nije predvidio i najvjerojatnije nije prognozirao globalni poreme\u0107aj, niti su pokrenuli predvi\u0111anje na temelju scenarija, niti su imali alate poput SAP Analytics Cloud-a. <\/span><\/p>\r\n Sve se to promijenilo po\u010detkom o\u017eujka kada je COVID-19 stigao u Europu. Vlade su davale sve od sebe kako bi kontrolirale \u0161irenje razli\u010ditim fazama zaklju\u010davanja.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t U isto vrijeme, upravni odbori bili su suo\u010deni s nevi\u0111enim nizom izazova koji su bili jedinstveni za njihovo poslovanje, njihov globalni otisak, pa \u010dak su dosezali i do razli\u010ditih poslovnih jedinica. Bilo je toliko pitanja za odgovoriti bez jasnog pogleda u budu\u0107nost i tako malo vremena. \u0160to je s opskrbnim lancem, likvidno\u0161\u0107u, prodajnim brojevima itd. kao i, \u0161to je najva\u017enije, dobrobiti vlastitih Zaposlenika?<\/span><\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t Kako to ne bi bilo dovoljno za upravljanje, vladini propisi koji su se neprestano mijenjali uvedeni su bez ikakvog vremena. <\/span><\/p>\n S desne strane vidite plan \u0161vicarske vlade za ponovno otvaranje zemlje (26.05.2020.)<\/span><\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t I trust that today (Mid June 2020); most companies are in some sort of rebound scenario or likely in a combination of various scenarios:<\/p>\n As mentioned before, companies are likely still facing lots of uncertainties and the FP&A Teams need to deliver and live up to the expectation of their management.<\/p>\n When I talked to our clients, there was, not surprisingly, a varied picture. Bottom line however is, that companies who invested into Business Partnering, agile processes and appropriate Software are better at managing the current crisis and feel more confident with their planning results.<\/p>\n In the traditional way, these are two separate topics. They are very likely run by different Teams with different background and knowledge. Forecasting is run at regular intervals and Scenario-Planning rather on-demand. While there is a Software solution in place for Planning\/Budgeting\/Forecasting, Scenario-planning might be an Excel solution.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t Me\u0111utim, hitno je potrebno prije\u0107i s ju\u010der na danas. <\/span><\/p>\n Okolnosti ili osnova za prognozu mijenjaju se tako brzo da je u osnovi nemogu\u0107e do\u0107i do \u010dvrste prognoze na temelju povijesnih podataka. Tako\u0111er, planovi scenarija podlije\u017eu brzim promjenama i moraju se brzo prilago\u0111avati. <\/span><\/p>\n Drugim rije\u010dima, predvi\u0111anje i planiranje scenarija za sada se tope, ali mo\u017eda i u budu\u0107nosti.<\/span><\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t There is a need for a change to address this. Switch from a granular bottom-up to a high level top down approach and run the forecast more frequently. To accommodate this, internal processes need to change. The Teams need to change as well from a pure FP&A or Business Team to a Team with Senior, cross-functional experts who focus on a few but the right business drivers and KPI\u2019s.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n This Team acts swiftly and frequently runs the Forecast and has the Market and Business knowledge to run appropriate Scenarios. Just take a moment and try to reflect this to your current situation<\/p>\n Obviously there would be many more questions. If you cannot answer all of them with a clear YES, there is a Call to Action<\/b><\/span>.\u00a0<\/p>\n Only about one fifth of large multinational companies were ready to respond to the management expectations.<\/p>\n I am not talking about a lengthy project with lots of people involved, hardware purchase etc. I am talking about a lean and fast project with the SAP ANALYTICS CLOUD (SAC)<\/a>.<\/b><\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t You only need a Laptop, an internet connection, a browser, a license and the appropriate data set and there you go. Either you connect live to your ERP and\/or Datawarehouse Systems or just import the data via Excel file into the Cloud.<\/p>\n For more information about the SAP Analytics Cloud, visit our SAC homepage<\/a>\u00a0and watch our Webinar for a first introduction:\u00a0 Challenging Times for Finance & Controlling Dashboards, Augmented Analytics and Planning<\/a><\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n
Let\u2019s look exemplary at Forecasting and Scenario-Planning:<\/b><\/h2>\n
Vrijeme za promjene<\/span><\/b><\/h2>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
Additional dedicated teams are still needed for deep dive analysis and forecasting on a granular level.
All above needs to be supported by an agile Software solution which can be run and operated independently by the business.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n